ABSTRACT
Climate Change (CC) poses threat to food crop production
especially in a developing country like Ghana. As a result, this study examined
the impact of CC on output of maize, cassava and plantain in the
Bibiani-Ahwiaso-Bekwai (BAB) district and farmers adaptation strategies.
Questionnaires, focus group discussions, interview guide and direct observation
were the main instruments used for gathering primary data from 231 households,
selected randomly and purposively from six communities. Again, 31 years‟ time
series data points from secondary sources were used to perform multiple
regression analysis. Analysis was done using the Eviews software for Ordinary
Least Squares (OLS), MAKESENS Excel template for Trend analysis, IBM SPSS
version 20 for Cross tabulation, Microsoft Excel, 2013 for frequency charts and
thematic analysis for all qualitative data analysis. The results of the study revealed
that, changes (increase) in temperature has a significant negative impact
(decrease) on output of maize. From farmers‟ perspective, negative impacts of
CC on crops are greatly felt during fruits development and maturation stages in
the production process. Again, some farming practices (like deforestation and
slash and burn) apart from contributing to anthropogenic induced CC, also
exacerbate the effects of CC on crops. Also, the quantity of output of crops is
positively related to land area with high significance level. Finally, mixed
cropping and mulching were mostly used by farmers to adapt to CC which were
basically determined by farmers‟ years of farming experience and the fact that
they were relatively cost effective. Unfortunately, institutional mitigation
strategies were not functioning (were very weak) in the district. The study
thus recommended that mitigation should be made „crop and stage specific‟ in
the production process and experienced farmers should be involved in public
education on best adaptation options. Communication and education about CC
should also be intensified and made more meaningful to farmers if institutional
mitigation strategies would be effective.
CHAPTER ONE
BACKGROUND TO THE STUDY
1.1. INTRODUCTION
Climate change has attracted global
attention than any other recent geographical phenomena. This is evidenced in
the number of international committees and organisations about it and their
various annual reports as well as its inclusion in academic discipline as a
permanent field of study at degree levels of various higher institutions. It is
considered the biggest environmental threat in human history and the defining
human challenge for the twenty-first century (IPCC, 2001; UNDP, 2007). Global
climate has indeed changed and is still changing - an observation and assertion
made by Fellmann et al, (2005) that the structure of the ecosphere is not
eternal and unchanging, rather alteration is the constant rule of the physical
environment and would be so even in the absence of human and their distorting
impacts. Consequences of such climate change are already felt throughout the
Earth system and the effects thereof are observed on every continent and in all
sectors. However, adaptation to these changes needs to not only respond to
these impacts, but also needs to be integrated into sustainable development
strategies and their implementation.
The United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC, 2007) defined climate change as “a change
of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that
alters the composition of the global atmosphere and which is in addition to
natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods”. To them
climate change involves a change in climatic variables (such as rainfall,
temperature and wind speed) which is caused by both anthropogenic and natural
factors over longer time periods. The most mentioned climatic variables
identified to have direct relationship with crop
production and which affect output of various crops are temperature,
precipitation and extreme weather events such as flood, windstorm and drought.
Thus, climate change is considered as gradual but noticeable changes in
regional or global-scale patterns of ancient climatic variables (particularly
rainfall and temperature) induced by man or natural means which usually results
in sporadic but progressively recurrent dangerous impacts.
There is rising anxiety about the
effect of CC on human life, as the scientific agreement grows that significant
climate change is very likely to occur over the 21st century (Christensen and
Hewitson, 2007). As global climate keeps changing, there is need to worry and
intensify research focus on it since various earth systems such as agriculture
and soil are vulnerable to impacts accompanying such changes. In regards to
agriculture, the general agreement is that changes in temperature and rainfall
will result in changes in land and water regimes that will then disturb
agricultural output (World Bank, 2003; Kurukulasuriya and Rosenthal, 2003). If
agriculture becomes affected, then food security also becomes uncertain.
Food security occurs when
individuals have continuous physical or economic access to adequate, harmless,
and nourishing food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an
active and healthy life (FAO and W.F.P., 2012). But the problem is that food
security in the face of global climate change has become highly threatened
since over one billion people around the world are underfed because they lack
easy and constant access to affordable food (Cordell et al., 2009). It must
also be noted, that the quantity produced (availability) of a particular crop
which is also a function of food security is dependent on other factors such as
land area, soil fertility and agronomic practices other than climatic factors
of rainfall and temperature. It therefore becomes imperative for this study to
take into account (besides rainfall and temperature) the impact of the size of the land area
used for cultivation (which data was readily available at the time of this
study unlike soil fertility and agronomic practices) since food security is
being studied. As noted by Smith (2013), that food production can increase by
expanding agricultural area. In other words, to be able to satisfy future food
demand, then per-area productivity must increase. In support, Edgerton (2009)
stressed that to satisfy the growing, worldwide demand for grain (maize), the
area under production can be increased and or improved to boost productivity on
the existing farmland.
The rapid pace at which climate
change is happening, together with the increase in global population and slow
income growth, threatens food security globally (Manyeruke et al, 2013).
Agriculture has proven to be extremely susceptible to climate change as seen by
the severe decline in food production over the past two decades, and that the
high temperatures that are being experienced in most parts of the globe will
eventually reduce yields of desirable crops while encouraging weed and pest
proliferation (Manyeruke et al, 2013). The changes in precipitation patterns
will significantly increase the likelihood of crop failures and production
declines (Nelson et al, 2009, cited in Manyeruke et al, 2013).
All the four dimensions of food
security are affected in one way or the other by climate change: that is food
availability, food accessibility, food utilization and food systems stability
(FAO and W.F.P., 2012). However the observed impacts indicates high effects on
production aspects of food security rather than access or other components of
food security (IPCC, 2014). For the purpose of this study, food security
focused mainly on production (availability) component. Since agriculture (crop
production) relates directly to or depends largely on climatic proxies of
rainfall and temperature, changes (variations) in the pattern of these climatic
proxies‟ impacts crop production hence to food security.
In Africa, low levels of food
security and economic development conspire with high levels of climate risk
(FAO and W.F.P., 2012). This is because agriculture systems in most countries
in sub-Sahara Africa such as Ghana, Uganda, Cote d‟lvoire and Nigeria depend
solely on rainfall. Therefore a slight delay in rainfall or unusual changes in
rainfall pattern affect productivity levels greatly hence food security (IPCC,
2014). This has resulted in conscious effort on the part of farmers in these
countries to adapt to such changes in rainfall pattern and temperature extremes
through diversity of means ranging from irrigation to undertaking non-farm activities.
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